(kaʻu ʻatikala i nehinei hou aku…)
ʻO nā hui manaʻo koʻikoʻi a koʻikoʻi o ʻAmelika, kekahi o Rand international senior policy analyst Alireza Nader kamaʻilio mākou Iranian-American rapprochement, Iran, hoʻokele waiwai a politika a me nā kamaʻilio Geneva-ʻelua e pili ana i nā ʻike nui i hōʻike ʻia me mākou.
Ua kamaʻilio ʻo Alireza Nader ma Geneva-lua ka manaʻo he holomua nui ia no ka lehulehu o ʻAmelika, i ʻōlelo ʻo ia. No Iran, ua hōʻike kēia rapprochement he mea pono ʻole. ʻO ke kūlana hoʻokele waiwai o Iran i kēia manawa no ka mea pili ia e kū nei.
ʻO ka Pelekikena Iran mua ʻo Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, ʻo ia ka mea e hiki mai ana ma hope o ka manawa e manaʻo ʻia he maikaʻi. Ua hoʻohiki ʻo Pelekikena Iran ʻo Hasan i ke kōkua ʻuhane a me ka hoʻokele waiwai i manaʻo ʻia mai lākou e hana i ka hana. Mr. Nader, Manaʻo ʻuhane i hana i nā hoʻoponopono koʻikoʻi i ka.
I ka manawa like, ua hana pū ke Kuhina o ko Iran, ʻo Javad Zarif i ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka ʻoihana, e like me nā pilina o waho i ʻōlelo ai i ka hoʻoikaika ʻana. ʻO Iran e komo i ka hālāwai kūkā o Geneva ma ke kumu o 2-Assad a inā paha e ʻōlelo ʻae i kahi memorandum e hoʻolei iā lākou, i ʻōlelo ʻo ia.
ʻO ka manaʻo o ka lehulehu Turkish ma ka laulā o Iran a me Suria ma muli o ka hele ʻana i kahi ʻaha kūkā ma Geneva mai 2 mau kūkākūkā i ka hopena ʻaʻole hiki i ka hopena.
Ua kau au i kaʻu nīnau iā ia iho: "Peace and Security in the Middle East, Turkey hiki ke alakaʻi i ka hoʻolako ʻana? Ua hoʻopaʻa inoa ka 1937 i ka hui palekana kūloko mua ma ka Middle East "Sadabat Pact," kahi kiʻekiʻe e like me ka mana o "Sadabat Pact v.2" hiki ke hoʻolako i ka palekana a me ka maluhia? ʻO ka hopena, ma 1937, Suria, Iraq, Iran, ke hoʻomau nei ka hihia Kurdish i kēia lā ma nā pilikia like. Kākoʻo ʻo US, EU a me Turkey iā Iran ma kēia ʻano? ”
Ma ka pane, Mr. Nader, "He ʻāina ʻo Turkey me nā ʻoihana waiwai ikaika a me ka lālā Nato. Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole hiki i ka hiki ke helu pololei! ʻO kaʻu mau hana a me kaʻu ʻōlelo ʻōlelo he mau kue. Ma hope o ke ala ala Arab ʻaʻole hiki ke huli i ko lākou makemake. No ka mea ʻaʻole hiki i ke alakaʻi maikaʻi ma Iran a me Saudi Arabia ke hopu. Hiki i nā hanana ma ʻAigupita a me Suria ke hāʻawi i kahi pōmaikaʻi. Aole nae i lanakila ma Aigupita a me Suria. Hiki i ke Kuhina Nui ʻo Erdogan ke lilo i kumu hoʻohālike no ka Muslim Brotherhood ma ʻAigupita e hele mai i ka mana i loko o ka manawa o ʻekolu mahina ma Suria, kahi e hiki ai i ka hāʻule ʻana o Assad ke pololei me kā lākou wānana. ”
ʻO Nader, ma ka loiloi wahi koʻikoʻi "Turkey i ka Middle East, akā ʻo ka mea he alakaʻi nui ʻo Turkey ʻaʻole hiki ke alakaʻi i kahi ʻāina ʻē." Ua ho'āʻo ʻo Nader e wehewehe aia ma ka Hikina Waena ma muli o ka conjuncture o kēia manawa;
• Makemake ka ʻIseraʻela e hahau iā Iran. Akā, ke kumu o Miss Lebanona mea kaua i hiki ke hahau i ka Iseraela.
• E hoʻopaʻa i nā mea kaua iā Iran iā Hezbollah ma o Damaseko kōkua e hana i nā mea kaua. No laila, he mea nui ka noho ʻana o ke aupuni Assad ma Suria no Iran.
No laila, no ke aha i hōʻole ai ka ʻIseraʻela e kū? Inā kākoʻo ʻoe i ka ʻIseraʻela, ka mea i hōʻemi ʻia ka hilinaʻi.
E kākoʻo i ka ʻIseraʻela inā ʻo ke aupuni ʻo Assad ma nā Alawites o Suria i kākoʻo i kāna kākoʻo. Ina kekahi kokua ku e i ka Iseraela e pokole. No ka mea, no ka manawa lōʻihi e lilo ai ka hue i ka ʻIseraʻela.
ʻO Nader Iranian-American rapprochement me ʻIseraʻela ka mea maikaʻi loa no ka mea ua kuhikuhi ʻia e hōʻemi i ka ʻāʻī. ʻO ka mea hope loa, ʻo ka launa pū ʻana o Iran-ʻAmelika ma Wakinekona, DC a me ka lehulehu ʻAmelika e pili ana i ka pono o ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa nui.
ʻO ka ʻaoʻao hope loa e kākau ana i kaʻu ʻatikala e hiki mai ana ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka hope pelekikena hoʻokō o B'nai B'rith International ʻo Dan Mariaschin 's'll share interview. E hoʻāʻo ʻo Middle East a me Turkey e nānā mai kahi ʻano ʻē aʻe.
