Editor's ntawv: Tub Cagaptay yog ib tug neeg laus nyob hauv Washington lub koom haum rau Txoj Cai Zej Zog East thiab tus pab txhawb nqa GPS. Koj tuaj yeem nrhiav nws lwm cov ntawv no. Cov kev xav tau nthuav tawm tsuas yog cov neeg sau.
Ankara tab tom tawm tsam kom haum raws li cov dej ntws ntawm Syrian cov neeg tawg rog tab tom nrhiav nkag mus rau Turkey. Raws li lub hli no, muaj ntau dua 100,000 tus neeg tawg rog Syrian nyob hauv lub tebchaws, ib tus lej uas Turkey tau tshaj tawm tias yog "kev txwv kev puas siab puas ntsws" hais txog tus lej nws tuaj yeem tuav. Ankara tseem tuaj yeem cia siab tias yuav sim ua kom haum rau ntau tus neeg tawg rog nyob rau sab Syrian ntawm ciam teb. Tseeb tiag, tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam los ntawm tsoomfwv Syrian, thaj chaw ib ntus twb tau tsim zoo li inkblots hla lub tebchaws ciam teb los ntawm Turkey mus rau Syria. Tab sis Turkey puas tuaj yeem tiv taus?
Cov neeg tawg rog tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev txhawj xeeb txog kev nyab xeeb rau Qaib Cov Txwv, tsis tsawg vim tias muaj peev xwm rau cov tub rog Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) cov tswv cuab hauv Syria siv qhov no los ua lub sijhawm hla mus rau Turkey. Raws li qhov tshwm sim, Ankara tau kaw ib ntus ntawm nws txoj kev hla ciam teb thiab nce kev tswj hwm kev nyab xeeb rau cov neeg tawg rog khiav hla ciam teb. Qhov no tau txhais kom nce lub sij hawm tos rau kev nkag, uas tsuas yog ntxiv rau qhov rov qab-log ntawm cov neeg tawg rog nyob rau sab Syrian ntawm ciam teb.
Raws li Sunni Arab kev khiav tawm los ntawm Syria txuas ntxiv mus, cov cheeb tsam uas muaj thaj chaw zoo thiab nyob ze ntawm kev hla ciam teb tau ntsib nrog cov neeg tawg rog coob tshaj plaws, ua rau tsim cov dab tsi tuaj yeem piav qhia raws li "inkblot" zones, uas cov neeg tawg rog nyob ntawm ob sab ntawm ciam teb. nyob hauv kev saib xyuas Turkish. Tsoomfwv Syrian tau tag nrho tab sis tso tseg cov chaw no.
Txij li thaum Lub Yim Hli, Qaib Cov Txwv lub koom haum pab tib neeg txoj cai, Lub Chaw Tswj Xyuas Kev Puas Tsuaj thiab Kev Kub Ntxhov Kub Kub (AFAD), tau xa cov kev pab cuam ntawm kev hla tseem ceeb, suav nrog rau cov chaw pw hauv Syria. Lub caij no, taw qhia txog kev tiv thaiv kev tiv thaiv dhau ntawm "inkblots," cov tub rog Turkish cov tub rog uas tau nruab nrog kev tiv thaiv dav hlau tau nyob hauv thaj tsam ntawm cov chaw pw hav zoov. Raws li qee cov lus ceeb toom, lub nyoob hoom qav taub siv los ntawm cov tub rog uas ncaj ncees rau Bashar al-Assad tau raug caum los ntawm cov cheeb tsam no los ntawm Turkish fighter dav hlau.
Tab sis raws li lawv loj hlob thiab muaj pes tsawg leeg, cov "inkblots" no yuav ua rau kev ncaj ncees ntawm Turkish-Syrian ciam teb, ib tug ciam teb uas zoo li yuav merging rau hauv struts nws tus kheej, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv cov cheeb tsam uas loj Sunni Arab zej zog nyob rau ob sab ntawm. kev hla ciam teb.
Cov cheeb tsam no tseem muaj peev xwm tso cov kab mob tiag tiag ntawm kev sib raug zoo ntawm Ankara thiab Washington. Tom qab tag nrho, twb muaj txoj cai sib txawv ntawm ob lub teb chaws ntawm Syria: Ankara zoo li xav txav nrawm thiab muaj peev xwm nrog kev quab yuam vis-à-vis Damascus, thaum Washington tau siv ceev faj. Txog tam sim no, Qaib ntxhw tau tswj hwm kev sib raug zoo, tshaj tawm rau pej xeem tsawg kawg. Tab sis lub hli tas los, Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Turkish Recep Erdogan tau cem US Thawj Tswj Hwm Barack Obama rau "tsis muaj kev pib" rau Syria.
Kev nthuav dav ntawm tus lej ntawm "inkblots" tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev ntxhov siab rau Ankara kom tshaj tawm rau pej xeem rau Asmeskas kev pab cuam tawm tsam tsoomfwv al-Assad, suav nrog kev thov rau Asmeskas kev txhawb nqa los hloov cov neeg tawg rog mus rau hauv qhov chaw nyab xeeb thoob ntiaj teb.
Thaum kawg, cov kev daws teeb meem no yuav pom tau zoo tshaj plaws yog ib yam ntawm Rorschach kev sim ntawm US-Turkish, nrog Ankara saib lawv li lub pob zeb nce mus rau theem tom ntej ntawm kev thawb tawm tsam al-Assad, thiab Washington pom lawv tsuas yog kho ib ntus hauv tsis tu ncua Syria teebmeem.
(CNN)
