MASIKU angapo apitawo, Lexington adapita ku chakudya cham'mawa ku Washington kwa akazembe akunja, mitundu yamabizinesi ndi ndale, pomwe a Charlie Cook, msilikali wakale wandale komanso wolosera zam'tsogolo, adafunsidwa za mkangano wachitatu komanso womaliza wapurezidenti, pazandale zakunja. Upangiri wake wansangala kwa akazembe: musangoyang'ana - mkangano wa Okutobala 22 sudzakhala wofanana ndi zaka zinayi zikubwerazi za mfundo zakunja zaku America.
Chenjezo la Mr Cook la kusokoneza malamulo akunja linali lomveka. Mtsutso wa Boca Raton, Florida, udawonetsa pang'ono momwe Barack Obama ndi Mitt Romney angasiyanitsire momwe angagwiritsire ntchito pulogalamu ya zida za nyukiliya ku Iran, nkhondo yapachiweniweni ku Syria, kuchita monyanyira m'maiko a Arabu, kapena kukwera kwa China.
Pamlingo wodabwitsa, Bambo Romney adapita kumalo ocheperako, akufuna koposa zonse kuti adzitalikitse ku mbiri ya George W. Bush ndi zikhumbo zokulirapo za ufulu wa neoconservative. Wosankhidwa waku Republican adatsimikiza za chikhumbo chake chamtendere, adachepetsa mwayi woti America iyambitsa kampeni yatsopano yankhondo pa wotchi yake ndikuvomereza chiyembekezo cha Mr Obama chakuthetsa mavuto monga nyukiliya yaku Iran. Ponena za chiwopsezo chochokera ku zigawenga zachisilamu, adagwirizana ndi kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe kake. Bambo Romney anati: “Sitingaphe njira yotuluka m’chipwirikiti chimenechi.
Pakusintha kwakukulu, a Romney adasiya lonjezo lawo lowunikanso dongosolo la a Obama lochotsa asitikali onse aku America ku Afghanistan mu 2014. Woyimilirayo adakananso mopanda manyazi malingaliro aliwonse oti akuluakulu aboma adabisa udindo wa zigawenga zomwe zimagwirizana ndi al-Qaeda m'boma. kupha kazembe waku America ku Libya, kapena adathandizira kuphedwa kwa nthumwiyo potengera chitetezo chaukazembe. Anangofotokoza za tsokali kwakanthawi, chifukwa amangonena mobwerezabwereza kuti dziko lapansi lili mu "chipwirikiti", kuwonetsa kuti mfundo za Mr Obama zakunja zikuyenda bwino. Zinamutengera mphindi 45 kuti awonenso zomwe amakonda pa kampeni, kuti a Obama adalimbikitsa adani aku America, monga Iran, powonetsa chithunzi cha America yopepesa komanso yofooka kunja.
Chenjezoli lidapangitsa kuti zikhale zovuta kwa a Romney kuti ataya mkanganowo pokhumudwitsa owonera - ndipo adapewa zosokoneza zilizonse. Komabe pokumbatira Purezidenti mwamphamvu Mr Romney adasiyanso chiyembekezo chilichonse chopambana. M'malo mwake cholinga chake chinali kukopa ovota omwe akhumudwitsidwa ndi purezidenti, komanso kuti mfundo za Mr Obama zakunja ziwoneke ngati lonjezo lophwanya. (M'mawu otsegulira okhudza kasupe wa Chiarabu, a Romney adalankhulanso za "chiyembekezo" ndi "kusintha" kusokonezedwa m'derali, zomwe zimamveka ngati chikumbutso chaching'ono cha momwe a Obama adakhalira zaka zinayi m'mbuyomo.)
Ponena za a Obama, atha kunena kuti adapambana mkanganowo. Ndi mamiliyoni aku America omwe amasankha kuwonera baseball kapena mpira m'malo mokambirana za mfundo zakunja, usiku unali wa zingers ndi mawu omveka, ndipo purezidenti adachita bwino kwambiri pampikisanowo. Anathanso kugwiritsa ntchito ulemu wa ofesi yake kuti athandize, mobwerezabwereza kulankhula za maphunziro omwe adaphunzira monga mkulu wa asilikali.
Anthu ambiri aku America amangowona chotsitsa chimodzi kuchokera pamtsutso, kusinthanitsa za ndalama zankhondo. A Romney ali ndi dongosolo (lopanda pake) lokhazikitsa ndalama zowononga chitetezo ku America pamlingo wosakhazikika wa 4% wachuma chadziko, kaya akuluakulu ankhondo apempha ndalamazo kapena ayi. Pofuna kujambula a Obama ngati akunyoza asilikali ndi kuchepetsa ndalama, a Republican adanena kuti asilikali apanyanja omwe alipo tsopano anali ochepa kwambiri kuyambira 1917, ndi zombo 285 zokha. Bambo Obama adalumphira, nayankha, "Chabwino, Bwanamkubwa, tilinso ndi akavalo ochepa komanso mabwalo chifukwa momwe asitikali athu asinthira ... Funso si masewera a Battleship komwe tikuwerengera zombo. Ndi zomwe zili luso lathu. ”
Komabe ngati mkanganowo unali waufupi pa mavumbulutso a mfundo zakunja, panali zifukwa zomveka zowonera ndikuwonera. Koposa zonse, mwambowu udapereka chithunzithunzi cha midadada yoponya voti yomwe anthu awiriwa akufuna kutsata masiku awiri tsiku lachisankho lisanafike.
Poyang'ana mayankho a Mr Romney, ali ndi chidaliro kuti maziko ake odziyimira pawokha athamangitsidwa ndipo ali okonzeka kuvota, ndipo atha kukwanitsa kuchita bwino pakatikati pofunafuna ovota omwe ali ndi nkhawa chifukwa cha ntchito zomwe zatayika ku China. Mayankho ake ambiri adamveka kuti akugwirizana ndi gulu la ovota osasankhidwa kalekale omwe adadziwika ndi othandizira a Romney ngati chandamale chachikulu: azimayi azaka zapakati amada nkhawa ndi sukulu komanso ntchito za ana awo.
A Obama ayenera kuti adathamangitsa omwe amamutsatira kwambiri ndi maswipu ankhanza pamasewera a Mr Romney. Koma analinso ndi nkhawa kwambiri za ovota a rustbelt, makamaka omwe ali m'maboma opanga magalimoto, kuti aweruze ndi zomwe adafotokoza mwatsatanetsatane pakubweza kwa boma ku Detroit. Zikafika kwa oponya voti azimayi, zoyesayesa za a Obama zosonyeza chifundo ndi kuyika mfundo zakunja pankhani ya chidwi cha anthu, nthawi zambiri ndi mawu achikazi, zidawonekera kwambiri. Ndizosadabwitsa, pomwe zisankho zaposachedwa zawonetsa kutsogola kwa purezidenti kamodzi pakati pa azimayi kutsika mpaka nambala imodzi.
Nthaŵi zina, amuna onse aŵiriwo ankatalikirana kwambiri ndi malamulo a mayiko akunja, chifukwa ankafuna kukopa anthu otopa ndi nkhondo komanso ooneka ngati amkati. Chifukwa chake, ngakhale sanapeze nthawi yokambirana zakusintha kwanyengo, m'badwo wotsatira wa atsogoleri aku China, vuto la euro-zone, Africa kapena - mwatsatanetsatane - tsogolo la Iraq, North Korea kapena Russia, adakangana pakukula kwamagulu abwino kwambiri. Masukulu aku America, misonkho komanso mbiri yopangira ntchito zamabizinesi ang'onoang'ono ku Massachusetts pomwe Mr Romney anali kazembe.
Msasa wa a Obama ukhala ndi chiyembekezo kuti kupambana kwa bambo wawo pamtsutso womaliza kudzakhala kwathandizira kukonzanso kutsogolera kwake pakati pa ovota azimayi, ndikukulitsa mwayi wake wowonda kwambiri m'maboma akuluakulu monga Ohio. Purezidenti sanavulaze chifukwa chake chonse, ngakhale nthawi zina ziwawa zake mwina zidapangitsa owonera ena kukhala akuthwa kwambiri komanso maliseche kwambiri.
Bambo Romney, ngakhale akuwoneka wotopa kwambiri komanso wopusa kuposa mkangano uliwonse wam'mbuyomu, sanagwere m'mabowo akuluakulu, ndipo adapitiliza kuyesetsa kuti awoneke ngati wololera, wodekha. Ngati cholinga chake chachikulu chinali choti ayesetse kuti akhale mtsogoleri wamkulu, ayenera kuti anapambana, ngakhale kuti zina mwazolengeza zake sizinafufuzidwe mozama. Wa Republican sanadzigulitsapo ngati katswiri wazandale. Kwa iye, mkangano womalizawu unali wokhudza kuwonetsa utsogoleri wa akuluakulu.
Sipadzakhalanso misonkhano ya maso ndi maso tsopano ya Mr Obama ndi Mr Romney. Amuna onsewa anyamuka paulendo wotopetsa wodutsa mayiko womwe ukhalapo mpaka tsiku lachisankho pa Novembara 6. Pambuyo pakusintha kwamphamvu kwa mkangano woyamba wa Purezidenti, kubwereranso pa Okutobala 3, mkangano wachitatu uwu udasiya mpikisano womwe wakhalapo kwa masiku angapo: kutheratu.
(The Economist)



