Zaka pafupifupi 30 zakubadwa za Karabakh zidathetsedwa ndi kutha kwa nkhondo ndi mgwirizano ndi zomwe Russia idachita, pambuyo pa ntchito za masiku 44 za Azerbaijan. Monga chandamale ku Caucasus chafikira; Syria ndi Libya akuyembekezeka kukhala pachiwonetsero chambiri ku Turkey.
Thandizo lazandale komanso luso lankhondo la Turkey, lidachita gawo lalikulu pakupambana kwa Karabakh. Dziko la Azerbaijan linamasula mbali yaikulu ya madera amene dziko la Armenia linalanda. Kulumikizana kwa nthaka kunakhazikitsidwanso pakati pa Nakhchevan Autonomous Republic ndi Azerbaijan. Izi zikutanthawuza kuti dziko la Turkey likupita ku Azerbaijan, Caspian Basin ndi Central Asia.
Syria ndi Libya tsopano zitha kuwoneka ngati mavuto ovuta kwambiri m'tsogolo:
Dziko la Turkey lachita zigawenga zitatu zopambana zankhondo ku Syria, kuletsa kukhazikitsidwa kwa dziko lotchedwa Kurdish State ndikusuntha ISIS kuchokera kumalire ake. Turkey idabwezeretsanso moyo wamba m'magawo amenewo, idakhazikitsa bungwe lachitetezo kuchokera kumadera akumaloko, idatsegula masukulu ndi zipatala, ndipo moyo wa anthu unabwerera mwakale.
Gulu la zigawenga za YPG-PKK lomwe lili ndi zida ndipo likutetezedwa ndi dziko la US likupitiriza zigawenga ku Syria ndikuyesera kulowanso mu Turkey. Kuphatikiza apo, Turkey ikulandila anthu othawa kwawo aku Syria 4 miliyoni.
Yankho popanda Iran?
Iran ndi membala wa Astana Troika, yomwe idapangidwa kuti ithetse vuto la Syria. Komabe, zikumveka kuti yankho ku Syria lidzapangidwa popanda Iran, yomwe ili ndi mphamvu zazikulu zankhondo m'dzikoli. Mfundo yakuti dongosolo la chitetezo cha ndege la Russia la S-400 silinayambe kugwira ntchito panthawi yomwe ndege ya Israeli ikuwomba kwambiri makamaka ku Iran ku Syria, zimasonyeza maganizo a Russia. Koma n’chiyani chidzachitikire Esadi? Zofuna zaku Russia zikakwaniritsidwa, mwina sadzasamala kuti ndani ali ndi mphamvu ku Damasiko. Koma dziko la Turkey likuyembekezeka kukakamira yankho popanda Esad. Mofananamo, dziko la Turkey lidzatsutsana kwambiri ndi mapangidwe a Kurdish statelet kapena canton.
Ndikuganiza kuti ntchito ya usilikali idzachitidwa ndiyeno tebulo la zokambirana lidzapangidwa ku Syria. Popeza palibe m'modzi mwa ochita masewerawa ndi Syria akuyembekezeka kutenga nawo gawo pazokambirana ndi momwe zilili pano. Kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu kokha kudzalola kuti tebulo likhazikitsidwe.
Apa funso ndiloti ngati zinthu za Irani pansi zidzachoka ku Syria kapena ayi: Zomwe zinabweretsedwa ndi boma la Tehran ku Syria kuchokera ku Afghanistan, Pakistan ndi mayiko ena kuti zimenyane ndi Asiriya, zikhoza kuyang'aniridwa muzochitika zankhondo. Kuchotsa boma la Iran mdziko muno kudzakhala chifukwa chokopa!
Ponena za Libya, kutha kwankhondo kudakhazikitsidwa pamsonkhano wa Komiti Yogwirizana ya Asilikali a 5 + 5 ku Geneva ndipo maziko a zokambirana adakhazikitsidwa. Komabe, makamaka ndi chilimbikitso cha France, UAE ndi Egypt, malingaliro a putschist General Haftar motsutsana ndi boma lovomerezeka la Tripoli, akhoza kuswa kuyimitsa kapena kuletsa zokambirana. Posachedwapa, nkhani yoti Haftar adalimbikitsa asitikali ku Sirte idasindikizidwa mu media. Ntchito yayikulu yankhondo ikhoza kukhala yosapeŵeka ku Turkey.
Maiko awiriwa ali pamwamba pa ndondomeko ya Ankara, yomwe idzakhala yoyamba, ndikuganiza kuti tiwona posachedwa.
