Mutengesi wemumugwagwa wekuTunisia, Mohamed Bouazizi akafa achangozvipisa musi wa10 Zvita 2010, pamberi pehoro yeguta mushure mekunge mapurisa atora michero nemiriwo zvaaiedza kutengesa kuti mhuri yake iwane chouviri. Chiito chake chakakonzera kuratidzira kukuru munyika dzeArabhu. Mhepo yedemocratization yakatanga neTunisia's Jasmine Revolution yakakunda vatungamiriri vehutongi muEgypt, Libya neYemen. Muna 2011, kumukira muBahrain kwakapwanyika nekupindira kwemauto neSaudi Arabia, Iran neRussia izvo zvakaita kuti hutongi hwaBashar al-Assad muSyria hurambe huripo. Mamirioni emaArabu akapinda mumigwagwa achida kodzero dzevanhu, rusununguko uye hutongi hwejekerere akarambwa neUnited States neEuropean Union - ndokuzonyaradzwa nemhirizhonga yakarongwa nehutongi hweGulf. Chipikiri chekupedzisira mubhokisi reArab Spring kwaive kudzingwa kwaGeneral Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi muna Chikunguru 2013 kwaMohamed Morsi, anga ari purezidhendi wekutanga weEgypt akasarudzwa zvine hutongi hwejekerere muna 2012. Cairo, guta guru renyika dzeArab, rakapinda mumugero wakasviba usingagumi pasi pehurumende inodzvinyirira.
Nepo Tunisia yakanetseka kuchengetedza chimurenga chayo, nekuda kwehuchenjeri nehunyanzvi hwemutungamiri weNahda Rashed Ghannouchi, hondo yevagari vemo iri kuramba ichitambudza Libya, Syria neYemen. Munyika idzi, hurumende yakagadzikana uye yegutsaruzhinji inoramba iri chiroto chisinganzwisisike.
Kuti zvive pachena, Libya yaita zvirinani kupfuura mazhinji. Nekuda kwesarudzo yeTurkey ya2019 yekutsigira Hurumende yeNyika yeNyika (GNA) inotungamirwa neMutungamiriri Fayez al-Sarraj, shanduko yezvematongerwo enyika yatotanga. Murongi wekupandukira hurumende, General Khalifa Haftar, akadziviswa kutora Tripoli uye kumisa hutongi hwehutongi, asi ramangwana harina kujeka.
Zvakadaro, ichokwadi chinosuruvarisa kuti kudiwa kwechokwadi kwedemocracy, kwakadzika midzi mumagariro nehupfumi hwemagariro echiArabu, kwakadzvinyirirwa nekuti hurumende dzekuMadokero dzakaramba dzinyerere zvehunyengeri. Ipapo mutungamiri weAmerica, VaBarack Obama, vakashorawo mashoko anofadza pamusoro pehutongi hwejekerere avakataura kuCairo University makore maviri apfuura.
Hapana kupokana kuti kumukirana kwemaArabu kwakashatiswa mushure mekunge kwatanga nekushandiswa kuitira kubatsira vanopikisa. Tichitarisa kumashure, zviri nyore kuona idzo nyika dzakabatsirikana zvakanyanya kubva mukusagadzikana kwakashanduka kuita hondo yevagari vemo: Gulf states, Iran neIsrael, idzo dzingadai dzisina kufara nedemocracy munyika dzeArab.
Israel haina kufamba zvishoma mumakore gumi apfuura. Ikozvino hapasisina nyika yeArab yasara kumira munzira yayo, uye yave de facto leader weAnti-Iran bloc nerubatsiro rweMutungamiriri weAmerica, VaDonald Trump. Vatongi vechiArab vakasiya chikonzero chePalestine vave kumirira nguva yavo yekugadzirisa hukama hwavo neTel Aviv.
Iran, iyo yakavaka humambo hwemauto pakati peRebhanoni neYemen, yakambodzorwa nehurongwa hwehutongi hwaTrump hwe "maximum pressure".
Kukara kweUnited Arab Emirates (UAE) hakusi kungopatsanura Gulf chete, kuri kunetesa nyika dzechiArab kutarisana neRussia, Turkey, Iran, neIsrael. Vatadza muYemen, Saudi Arabia neUAE vari kupambadza zviwanikwa zvavo pakurwisa-Turkish zvirongwa. Mumakore achangopfuura, vakarasikirwa neSyria, Iraq, neLebanon sezvo nzvimbo yavo muLibya yaderera. Amburera yekudzivirira yeIsrael haizove yakakwana kuvadzivirira kubva kuIran, sezvo Tehran inotarisa kupora kubva mukurasikirwa kwayo pasi pehutongi hweBiden. Ngativei pachena: Chekutanga cheTel Aviv kuzvidzivirira kubva kuIranian proxies, kwete kuponesa vamwe kubva kwavari. Makore gumi gare gare, Turkey inoramba iri iyo nyika inonyanya kuoneka mukumukira kwevaArabu. Chiitiko chayo nedemocracy chakashanda semuenzaniso wemhirizhonga iyi, uye kutambura kwenyika kubva muna 2013 uye kuedza patsva kubvira 2016 kwakaratidza nyaya yebudiriro.
Munguva iyi, Ankara yakakwanisa kudzivirira kurwiswa kusingaverengeki, kunyangwe yaifanirwa kutakura dambudziko rehondo yevagari veSyria nenzira yemagandanga nemafungu evapoteri. Yakaponawo pakuedza kubvisa Mutungamiri Recep Tayyip Erdoğan neBato rake reJustice and Development (AK Party) pachigaro, semhirizhonga yeGezi Park, kutonga kwe2013, uye kuedza kupidigura hurumende muna 2016 neGülenist Terrorist Group (FETÖ). Munguva pfupi yapfuura, Turkey yakatora matanho akashinga muSyria, Eastern Mediterranean, Libya, uye Nagorno-Karabakh kusimbisa simba rayo redunhu.
Erdogan ndiye chete mutungamiri akataura zvinopesana nekusarongeka kwehurongwa hwepasi rose mu2009, uye maonero ake anoramba asina kushanduka nanhasi. Ndosaka maArabu achiramba akatarisa kuyedza kweTurkey zvakanyanya.
Mwedzi unouya, Joe Biden achave mutungamiri wechitatu weAmerica kubva pakamukira maArabu. Hurongwa hwevaimbove mutevedzeri wemutungamiri wenyika hahufanire kuve nemhedzisiro yedemokrasi kuMiddle East neNorth Africa. Pazvakanakisa, US ichamutsidzira chibvumirano chenyukireya cheIran kugadzira chiyero chitsva chesimba pakati pemasimba ematunhu.
