United States (US) yanga ichitsigira Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG) muSyria. YPG ishamwari ye "tactical" yeUS, nepo Turkey iri "yakarongeka" shamwari. Strategic kukanganisa hakugone kugadziriswa nemaitiro, zvisinei, zvikanganiso zvehungwaru zvinogona kugadziriswa nekwakaringana hurongwa hwekuda. Ose Turkey neUS, zvisinei, vanoremekedza kodzero yekuzvidzivirira kana paine kutyisidzira kwegandanga.
Kunze kwekuita basa rekutamisa Guva reSuleyman Shah, Bazi reOlive ndiyo yechitatu mashandiro eTurkey Armed Forces (TSK) muSyria. Kushanda kwemauto eTurkey muSyria kunoratidza zvematongerwo enyika eTurkey kudunhu. Chinangwa chikuru cheEuphrates Shield (2016), Idlib (2017) uye Olive Branch (2018) mauto ekushanda ndeyekubvisa miganhu yeTurkey kubva kune chero zvingangoitika zvegandanga.
Turkey Ruzhinji Rutsigiro rweKushanda muSyria
Kutsunga kuri pachena, kubatana uye kubatana kunoonekwa pakati peruzhinji rweTurkey maererano nemashandiro muSyria ayo ane chinangwa chekudzikisira kurwiswa kwegandanga.
Kurwisa hugandanga (PKK) inoumba nyaya dzakanyanya kuoma muTurkey. Zvinei, panguva yekushanda uku, kuita kwevanhu veTurkey kwakaratidza kubatana kwenyika kurwisa PKK uye matavi ayo ese akapararira mudunhu rose. Vanhu veTurkey vanofunga kuti PKK neYPG sezvikamu zvakafanana. Saka kushanda kunoonekwa senhanho yekudzivirira kuchengetedzwa kwenyika yeTurkey nekuchengetedza miganhu yeTurkey.
Rocket kurwiswa kweYPG kuenda kumaguta eTurkey panguva yekuvhiya kunobvumidza kushushikana kweTurkey. Pakarepo mushure mekushanda, matura makuru ezvombo zveYPG nemaoko zvakawanikwa mudunhu. Zvaive pachena kuti YPG yakanga yakanyatso gadzirira kutanga kurwisa Turkey. Kutyisidzira kwaive kwave pedyo uye kushanda kwekurwisa yaive nyaya yenguva yeYPG.
Utongi hweUS hwakatarisira pasi rutsigiro rwakakurumbira rweruzhinji rwemabasa uye vakatadza kunzwisisa kunzwisiswa kwevaTurkey vachipokana nePKK nezvikamu zvayo zvese. Zvichida ichi ndicho chimwe chezvikonzero zvakaita kuti dhipatimendi rakasimba pakati peAnkara neWashington rakatanga chete mushure mekuvhiyiwa kweAfrin. Izwi reTurkey rakanzwika chete nyika yaifanira kushandisa simba rakaoma pasi.
United Stats - Turkey Relations muSyria Conflict
Kushanda muAfrin kwakaita kuti vagadziri vesarudzo vemuUS vataure kuti vanofanirwa kusarudza pakati peTurkey neYPG. Ikozvino, ivo vanofanirwa kuuya negwara rekubuda kubva kuYPG-kubatanidzwa uye kuchengetedza hukama hwavo hwekudyidzana neTurkey. Ramangwana rekushanda kweBazi reOlive rinotsanangura ramangwana rehukama hweTurkey-US. Matanho ehumiriri akatorwa neUS kusvika parizvino aratidza kuti US iri kuyedza kuchengetedza hukama nemubatanidzwa wayo weNATO. Sezvo Washington yakaregeredza zvichemo zveTurkey maererano nekubatana kweYPG nePKK, Turkey yakasundirwa kudyidzana neRussia. Ko mutemo weUS muSyria uri pasi pekumanikidzwa kwakanyanya neOlive Branch oparesheni?
Turkey zviri pachena kuti inovhiringidzwa kubva kumubatanidzwa pakati peUS neYPG, sangano remagandanga rePKK reSyria bazi. Kuchengetedza muganho wayo wekumaodzanyemba uye kudzivirira kurwiswa kwehugandanga kurwisa vagari vayo nyika yatanga kuyambuka muganhu.
Zvakaziviswa nemutauriri wehurumende yeTurkey Bekir Bozdağ kuti boka rinoshanda reUS-Turkish richasangana muWashington munaKurume 8-9 richatarisa pazvinhu zvese zvine chekuita neSyria, zvinosanganisira magandanga YPG neDaesh. Zvinotarisirwa kuti zvirongwa zvakadaro zvehumiriri zvichaunza zviitiko zvakanaka kuvaka mabhiriji matsva ekuvimbana pakati peTurkey neUS.
Vagari vemo
Pasinei nekuedza kweWestern media kudhura mumvuri paTurkey kurwisa hugandanga; Mauto eTurkey anga akasiyana mukunzwa kwayo kusiyanisa vanhuwo zvavo nevarwi vane zvombo. Vatengesi veTurkey vanga vachiratidza kutarisirwa kukuru uye kunzwira tsitsi kudzivirira chero kukuvadza kune vanhuwo zvavo panguva yekushanda. "Vatorwa rimwe zuva vachabva mudunhu, asi isu tiri vavakidzani uye tichazotarisana hupenyu hwedu hwese." Saka kuremekedza vanhuwo zvavo inyaya yenheyo yeTurkey.
Isu tinopupurira simba repasi rose propaganda nzira yekumisa, kudzivirira, kukanganisa uye kudzora Turkey. Vezvenhau vekuMadokero vanga vachiti hutongi hweAssad neYPG vasvika padanho rekudzinga Turkey kubva kuSyria.
Kutarisira kuti Turkey imise kushanda kwayo kwemauto muSyria hazvisizvo zveTurkey. Zvinonzi kushanda kweTurkey muSyria kwakatsausa pfungwa dzeYPG kubva pakurwa neDaesh kuenda kuAfrin. Kurwa neDaesh hakusati kwapera here?
Sei Munbij Yakakosha?
Turkey yakatsunga kubvisa kuvepo kweYPG kubva kuchamhembe kweSyria, kusanganisira Manbij.
Turkey yakazivisa kuti yaizonanga Manbij mushure meAfrin. Ichi chiziviso chakawedzera kukanganisa hukama hweTurkey - US. Kuita kweUSA kunonzwisisika sezvo mauto eUS akamira muManbij, kwavanodzivirira YPG mauto ane zvombo. Vakuru veUS vagara vachireva kuti kurwisa kweTurkey Manbij hakugamuchirwe uye kuti Turkey inofanirwa kudzikisira chiyero cheOp Operation Olive Branch. Turkey, kune rumwe rutivi, yakazvipira kufora zvakanyanya sezvinobvira kubvisa hugandanga huri padyo. Tichifunga nezve zvido zvenyika kwenguva refu, vanoita sarudzo veUS vanogona kusiya Munbij vachidzivirirwa neTurkey Armed Forces uye voita shuwa kuti YPG yabuda muguta.
Turkey yakatambura nehugandanga kwemakumi mana emakore
Turkey yakatambura kurwiswa kwemagandanga mumakore matatu apfuura kubva kumiganhu yayo yeSyria. Zvinotendwa zvakanyanya kuti US haina kukoshesa kushungurudzika kwakaitwa nevanhu veTurkey panguva iyi uye kuti kufa kwevanopfuura zviuru makumi mana vagari veTurkey mukati memakumi mana emakore ekurwira kweTurkey kwekurwisa hugandanga kwakafuratirwa neUS. Chero nzira inonzwisisika kubva kudivi reUS ichave nepesvedzero yakakura mumaonero eruzhinji muTurkey yakanangana nemutemo wekunze.
Vese vepasi rose Vatambi veDunhu vanobatanidzwa muSyria Crisis
Dambudziko reSyria riri kuenda padanho idzva apo kunetsana kunoshandurwa kuita dambudziko rechimiro apo vatambi vedunhu nepasi rose vari kubatanidzwa zvakananga.
IUS, Russia, Turkey neIran dziri pasi. Nepo, Israel iri kunetsekana kuti Iran ichazvimisa muGolden Heights kuburikidza neHezbollah. Turkey, pachinzvimbo chekushandisa ma proxies, yakada kubatanidzwa muSyria zvakananga. Kunze kwekushandisa simba rayo rakaoma, Turkey yakatsigira vanopikisa veSyria vemunharaunda, vane mwero vachishandisa simba rayo rakapfava uye yakaedzawo kubatsira mukugadziriswa kwehondo yeSyria kuburikidza nehunyanzvi hwekudyidzana munhandare yepasirese It. Tinofanirawo kuyeuka kuti Turkey yakatambira vapoteri veSyria vanopfuura mamiriyoni 3.5 uye yakavapa nzvimbo dzekugara dzakachengeteka. Icho chinhu chinonyatsoziva kuti PKK neYPG mapoka emagandanga anga achishanda muEurope. Nechemumoyo, Anadolu Agency yeTurkey yakataura kuti Turkey yakada kusungwa uye kudzoserwa kunze kweaimbova sachigaro weSyria Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD) Salih Muslim wekuGermany.
Iyo post-Cold war order inoenderana nekuchinja kukuru. China, Russia, Brazil, India neTurkey masimba ari kusimukira. Turkey padivi payo iri kuratidza kuzvivimba, ichiita basa rakasimba muhurongwa hwepasi rose uye kutora matanho akasimba edunhu ekubvisa hondo yepasi rose yehugandanga kurwisa vagari vayo.
Kutsunga kweTurkey muhondo yekurwisa hugandanga
Munguva yemauto ayo muSyria, Turkey yakanangana neDaesh, ichivachenesa kubva kumuganhu weTurkey nekushanda kwakabudirira.
Kana mauto eTurkey akasabvisa kuvapo kweYPG kubva kuAfrin, oparesheni yacho ichatadza kusvika pachinangwa chayo.
Kwemakore gumi nemashanu apfuura, Turkey yakaratidza kuvandudzwa kwakakosha muzvombo zvemuno neyenyika uye matekinoroji ezvombo muindasitiri yekudzivirira. Mukuwedzera, kushanda muSyria kwakaratidza zvakajeka unyanzvi hwekushanda kweTurkey.
Chaizvoizvo, kugona kwemauto eTurkey kuronga basa rakakura rekuyambuka muganhu kwakapokana nevamwe vakuru veUS. Basa reOlive Branch muAfrin, zvisinei, kusvika zvino rakaratidza kugadzirira kweTurkey Armed Forces kutora chiito cheunilateral kurwisa hugandanga munharaunda. Tinofanira kurangarira kuti Turkey yakabudirira kuita basa rayo pasina rutsigiro kubva kune vanobatana nayo, kunyanya iyo US.
