Iindlela zobugrogrisi zeRiphabhlikhi yamaSilamsi zinokujongeka zibhidekile namhlanje, kodwa kuthekani ngengomso?
Umthengisi wemoto wase-Iranian-waseMelika uvume ityala kule nyanga ngokwenza iyelenqe kunye neearhente zaseIran ukuba zibulale unozakuzaku waseSaudi eUnited States. Isibongozo sikaMansour Arbabsiar sinokubonakala ngathi sisiphelo seli bali, kodwa enyanisweni siphakamisa imibuzo emininzi kuneempendulo.
Izibakala azizange ziphikiswe ngokwenene. Amagosa ase-US afumanisa ngeli yelenqe kwangethuba kwaye akha ityesi engenamoya. Umbulali u-Arbabsiar wazama ukuqesha eneneni wayengumsabi we-DEA. Xa sele ebanjiwe, u-Arbabsiar wavuma. Ngokomyalelo wonyanzeliso lomthetho, emva koko wabiza umzala wakhe kunye nomphathi weQuds Force, uGholam Shakuri. Ngeearhente ezimameleyo, uShakuri wanyanzelisa u-Arbabsiar ukuba aqhubele phambili nelo yelenqe. “Yenze ngokukhawuleza. Kumva."
Kodwa kwakutheni ukuze uMkhosi weQuds, owazizuzela udumo lobuchule bokusebenza naphakathi kweentshaba zawo, uzimisele ukuqhubela phambili nomsebenzi ocacileyo onamakhwiniba? U-Arbabsiar ubonakala engumntu obuthathaka "ofuna ukubaluleka," njengoko ugqirha wengqondo ogcinwe ngurhulumente uzimisele. Watsalwa kwiyelenqe ngumzala wakhe, injengele kwi-Quds Force, ingalo ye-Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ejongene nemisebenzi yangaphandle. Ke owona mbuzo ngulo: Yayicinga ntoni iQuds Force?
Ngokutsho koMlawuli woBuntlola beSizwe uJames Clapper, iyelenqe "libonisa ukuba amanye amagosa ase-Iranian - mhlawumbi kuquka iNkokeli ePhakamileyo u-Ali Khamenei - baye batshintsha i-calculus yabo kwaye ngoku bazimisele ukwenza uhlaselo e-United States ekuphenduleni izenzo zokwenyani okanye ezibonwayo zase-US. oko kusongela urhulumente. "
Esi sibalo sitsha, amagosa ezobuntlola akholelwa ukuba, saqala ngoJanuwari 2010, xa iQuds Force yagqiba ekubeni yona kunye neHezbollah, ummeli wayo oyintloko wobunqolobi, baqalise iphulo elitsha lobundlobongela elijolise kungekuphela nje kwaSirayeli kodwa ne-US kunye nezinye iithagethi zaseNtshona ngokunjalo.
Emva kohlaselo lukaJulayi ophelileyo kubakhenkethi bakwa-Israel kwisixeko saseBulgaria saseBurgas, uthotho lweentatheli zafowuna zicela ukuba ndicacise ingqiqo yolo hlaselo. Bendigqibezela incwadi engeHezbollah - Hezbollah: I-Global Footprint yeQela likaThixo laseLebhanon, eliza kuphuma kulo nyaka uzayo - kodwa belingakwazanga ukubeka uhlaselo lula kwimodus operandi esekiweyo ye-Hezbollah. Okukhona ndicinga ngako, kokukhona ndandibhideka. Ke, kakhulu ekuphoxekeni komhleli wam, ndiye ndemka kwikhibhodi yam ixesha elide ngokwaneleyo ukuba ndidibane noonozakuzaku kunye nobukrelekrele kunye namagosa omkhosi asuka kumazwe aliqela ukuzama ukwenza intsingiselo yendlela entsha yohlaselo olugabadeleyo lwamaShia olubotshelelwe eIran kunye nabaxhasi bayo. Nantsi into endiye ndayiqonda.
Ukuqonda isigqibo esenziwa yi-Iran ngoJanuwari ka-2010 sokubandakanyeka kwiphulo elitsha lobundlobongela, umntu kufuneka abuyele emva ekubulaweni kuka-Imad Mughniyeh oyintloko ka-Hezbollah ka-Imad Mughniyeh, owayetyholwa ngokuba ngunobangela wokuqhushumba kweebhombu zase-US ngo-2008 e-Beirut, ngo-1984. ukuqweqwediswa kwe-TWA Flight 1985, kunye nolunye uhlaselo oluninzi. Emva kokubhubha kukaMughniyeh eDamasko, inkokeli yeHezbollah uHassan Nasrallah wacela "imfazwe evulekileyo" kwaSirayeli. “Igazi lika-Imad Mughniyeh liya kubenza [uSirayeli] arhoxe ebomini,” wafunga uNasrallah.
Kwiiveki nje ezimbalwa, i-Hezbollah yayiza kuzama iyelenqe lokuqala eliye lasilela kwaye labhangisa - uthotho lweebhombu zemoto ngaxeshanye zijikeleze i-ambassade yase-Israel kunye ne-US, ukuxhwilwa konozakuzaku wase-Israeli, kunye nokuqhumisa inqaba ye-radar e-Baku, e-Azerbaijan - ngenjongo yokwenza okulungileyo. kwisoyikiso sikaNasrallah. Iiplani ezininzi ezongezelelweyo zatshitshiswa, nto leyo eyakhokelela i-Quds Force ukuba idibane ne-Hezbollah kwaye ibonelele ngenkxaso yolungiselelo olubanzi lwebhombu enkulu eTurkey ngokwindla ka-2009. iithagethi ezinokwenzeka zaseMelika nezendawo zamaYuda. Ngokutsho kwenye i-akhawunti, iseli ekhokelwa ngu-Abbas Hossein Zakr yayijonge ukubetha abakhenkethi base-Israel, iinqanawa ze-Israel okanye iinqwelomoya, okanye izindlu zesikhungu eTurkey. Amapolisa aseTurkey abambe abasebenzi beHezbollah abathi bathubelezisa ibhombu yemoto kwilizwe laseSyria ngelixa iiarhente zeQuds Force zilishiya ilizwe zizenza abakhenkethi.
Uhlaselo oluphanzisiweyo eTurkey yayisisiganeko samanzi sabacwangcisi beHezbollah kunye nabaxhasi babo baseIran. Ngokwamagosa ezobuntlola bakwa-Israeli, umdlalo wokutyhola uqhubekile phakathi kwe-Hezbollah kunye ne-Quds Force kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo, njengoko la macala mabini ekhombana ngeminwe ngenxa yemisebenzi engaphumelelanga. Ngeli xesha, ngasekupheleni kuka-2009, i-Iran yayinomdla wokusebenzisa i-Hezbollah ukulwa izoyikiso kwinkqubo yayo yenyukliya esakhulayo. IRiphabhlikhi yamaSilamsi yayidinga umnyanzelisi: Izinto ezingasebenzi kakuhle zonakalise ii-centrifuges zase-Iran, amagosa e-IRGC ayenesiphako, kwaye ngoJanuwari 2010 ibhombu yabulala unjingalwazi wefiziksi waseIran uMasoud Ali Mohammadi ngaphandle kwekhaya lakhe eTehran.
Amagosa ase-Iran ayenomsindo ngenxa yokusweleka kuka-Mohammadi, kwaye afikelela kwizigqibo ezibini emva koko: Okokuqala, iHezbollah kwafuneka ivuselele amandla ayo okusebenza. Kwaye okwesibini, i-IRGC ayisayi kuphinda isebenze njengabasebenzi abaxhasa amadoda e-Hezbollah - ngoku iza kuthumela abasebenzi be-Quds Force ukuba benze uhlaselo lwabanqolobi phesheya.
Kwaye i-Iran yayikwimeko yokuxelela i-Hezbollah apho yayiza kuwa khona kwizicwangciso ze-Iran. NgoFebruwari, uClapper wachaza ubudlelwane phakathi kwe-Hezbollah ne-Iran "njengelungiselelo lentsebenziswano, kunye nama-Irani njengeqabane eliphezulu." Le "intsebenziswano yobuchule," njengoko umlawuli weZiko leSizwe lokuNqanda ubunqolobi u-Matthew Olson ebeka, yimveliso yendaleko ende ukusuka kwi-1980s, xa i-Hezbollah yayiyi-proxy ye-Iran.
Phantsi kwemiyalelo ye-Iran, iphiko labanqolobi bamazwe ngamazwe le-Hezbollah, i-Islamic Jihad Organisation (IJO), iye yaphinda yahlengahlengiswa. Abasebenzi abatsha baye bagaywa kuluhlu oluphezulu lwephiko lomkhosi le-Hezbollah ukuze bafumane uqeqesho lobuntlola kunye nokusebenza, ngelixa abasebenzi be-IJO abakhoyo baye basiwa kwizikhundla ezitsha. Ngaxeshanye, i-IJO yatyala imali kuphuhliso lwezakhono kunye norhwebo oluthe lwabuna kumdiliya emva kokuba iqela ligqibe ekubeni libambe imisebenzi emininzi yangaphandle kwinzame zokuthintela imfazwe yasemva kwe-9/11 yobunqolobi. .
Njengenxalenye ye-IJO shakeup yayo, i-Hezbollah yazibandakanya kwiingxoxo ezinzulu namagosa ase-Iranian ukubeka indima ye-Hezbollah kwisicwangciso esikhulu se-Iran semfazwe elungelelanisiweyo yemfazwe ejoliswe kwi-Israel, American, British, kunye ne-Arab Gulf state. Isicwangciso abathe bahlala kuso siza kubandakanya imisebenzi ejolise ekufezekiseni iinjongo ezininzi ezahlukeneyo, kubandakanya ukuziphindezela ngokubulawa kukaMughniyeh, ukuziphindezela ngohlaselo lwenkqubo yenyukliya yase-Iran, kunye nokukholisa amagunya aseNtshona ukuba uhlaselo lwase-Iran luya kukhokelela kuhlaselo lwabanqolobi emhlabeni jikelele.
Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, abenzi bezigqibo base-Iranian bazinza kwiphulo lobundlobongela elisekelwe kwiithagethi ezintathu ezibanzi: abakhenkethi bakwa-Israeli, iithagethi zikarhulumente ezisesikweni (abanozakuzaku, amagosa asele esidla umhlala-phantsi), kunye nethagethi ngokubanzi emele u-Israyeli okanye uluntu lwamaYuda (iinkokeli zoluntu, iinkampani ezibalaseleyo zakwa-Israel) . Yabela umsebenzi wokujolisa kubakhenkethi bakwa-Israeli-ithagethi ethambileyo-kwi-Hezbollah, kwaye yanika i-Quds Force uxanduva lwemisebenzi ejolise kumdla wamaSirayeli, waseMelika, waseBritane, okanye waseGulf. Le yokugqibela iya kwenziwa yiYunithi 400, isebe elitsha lemisebenzi yangaphandle yeQuds Force.
I-blitz yokusebenza eyalandelayo ngoku iyaziwa. Imisebenzi yeHezbollah ibandakanya iiploti eBulgaria, eThailand, eMzantsi Afrika naseCyprus. Ngeli xesha, oosomashishini beQuds Force bebesebenza eIndiya, eGeorgia, eThailand, eAzerbaijan, ePakistan, eKenya, kwaye - ngoMansour Arbabsiar - eUnited States. UTehran wayenqwenela ukuphumeza isicwangciso sakhe esitsha kunye nokuziphindezela ngokuthe ngqo kuhlaselo olufihlakeleyo oluchasene nenkqubo yakhe yenyukliya, ngoko ke uMkhosi weQuds wathengisa ngesantya sorhwebo - kwaye wavuna oko wakuhlwayelayo. Kwezinye iimeko, ii-arhente zase-Iranian ziqeshe ukhuseleko olusebenzayo oluhlekisayo; kwezinye, ii-arhente, ezifana Arbabsiar, babe kooky.
Kodwa izisongelo zaziyinyani ngokwaneleyo. NgoJuni ophelileyo, uJonathan Evans, umlawuli-jikelele we-arhente yobuntlola yaseBritane i-MI5, uqaphele ukuba iyelenqe lokubulala umthunywa waseSaudi eWashington "likhokelela ngqo kubunkokeli baseIran."
Umkhosi weQuds uqinisekile ukuba uza kuphinda ubuyele kububudenge bokusebenza, kwaye iinkokeli zaseIran zibonakala zizibophelele kumgaqo-nkqubo wokujolisa kwiminqweno yaseNtshona. Isibongozo sika-Arbabsiar sigqiba isahluko esinye kwimfazwe yesithunzi sase-Iran ngokuchasene neNtshona, kodwa abasemagunyeni kufuneka bahlale bewaphaphele amayelenqe aseza kuza.
(Umgaqo-nkqubo waNgaphandle)
