Ufunwa: Amadoda ambalwa alungileyo ukuba abalekele umongameli wase-Iranian. Abaviwa kufuneka babe nezakhono zokulawula ezinamandla kunye nokuzibophelela kwimilinganiselo yamaSilamsi kunye nenguquko. Abafaki-zicelo abanyaniseke ngokungagungqiyo nabathobela ngokupheleleyo iNkokeli ePhakamileyo uAyatollah Ali Khamenei, babonisa ukuthambekela okuchasene neNtshona, kwaye banokubonisa imbali ebhaliweyo yeembono zezopolitiko nezenkolo baya kufumana ukhetho. Onke amangenelo aya kujongwa liBhunga labaGcini. Abachasi akufuneki bafake izicelo.
Ezi ziphakathi kweempawu kunye nemigangatho yemfundo elindelekileyo kubagqatswa abaceba ukungenela unyulo lukamongameli lwase-Iran lwe-14 kaJuni, ngokutsho kwabakhi-mkhanyo base-Iran kunye nezimvo ezivela kwisangqa sangaphakathi senkokeli ephezulu.
NgoNovemba, ummeli wenkokeli ephezulu kwi-Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), u-Hojatoleslam Ali Saeedi, udwelise izakhono zolawulo kunye nexabiso lenguqu kunye ne-Islamic njengezinto ezifunekayo kubaviwa "abafanelekileyo nabanobuchule".
Abakhi-mkhanyo base-Iran balucuthe ngakumbi olu luhlu, besithi ukhuphiswano luza kwenziwa phakathi kwabesithethe kunye nonogada omtsha kwinkampu yolondolozo. Abaguquleli okanye amanani akufutshane noMongameli ophumayo uMahmud Ahmadinejad abanikwa thuba lokuphumelela, ukuba bakhetha ukuphosa iminqwazi yabo kwiringi kwaphela.
Njengoko umhlalutyi wezopolitiko osekelwe eWashington DC u-Ali Afshari ebeka, urhulumente wamaSilamsi ufuna i-Ahmadinejad ephucuke ngakumbi - oko kukuthi, ekubunjweni komongameli okhoyo ngaphambi kokuba aqalise ukucela umngeni kwinkokeli ephezulu.
Kusekude ukuba kuqulunqwe uluhlu olubanzi nolusemthethweni lwabagqatswa - akukho namnye osaqinisekisiweyo - kodwa amagama sele edadadiswa. Ekugqibeleni, ngokukaHabibollah Asgarolad, unobhala-jikelele we-Iran's Islamic Coalition Party, kuya kubakho abagqatswa abanokuba ngama-40, kunye nabangama-25 abasuka kwinkampu yogcino mthetho.
Ke, ukwazi iziqinisekiso ezilindelekileyo kunye nokuqaliswa okunokwenzeka kohlaziyo lonyulo olunokuthi khupha abantu abaninzi abanokuba ngabagqatswa, Ngubani na olungele ukulwa? Nantsi inkcazo.
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OKUTHANDAYO: U-Said Jalili oneminyaka engamashumi amane anesixhenxe ngoku ungoyena mntu uphambili uthethathethwano lwenyukliya e-Iran kunye nommeli okhethekileyo weNkokeli ePhakamileyo uAyatollah Ali Khamenei. Umele isizukulwana sesibini sabavukeli bamaSilamsi abalwa ngexesha lemfazwe yase-Iran-Iraq. UJalili, owaphulukana nomlenze wakhe emfazweni, usemncinci ngokwentelekiso, uphawu ekuthiwa lufunwa nguKhamenei. Ungumntu oqaqadekileyo kwaye uye wathenjwa yinkokeli ephezulu. Kwiinyanga zamva nje, iiwebhusayithi ezininzi ziye zasekwa ukuxhasa ugqatso lukaJalili kwaye kuye kwakho iingxelo zokuba i-Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps enamandla imcele ukuba abaleke.
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I-FAVORITE: U-Akbar Velayati, oneminyaka engama-67, wayengumphathiswa welizwe langaphandle kunye nomcebisi omkhulu kaKhamenei kwimicimbi yamazwe ngamazwe. Kuthiwa uVelayati unenkxaso yamanani amaninzi anempembelelo kwinkampu yolondolozo. Uye wazincama izicwangciso zokungenela uvoto lukamongameli luka-2005 emva kokuba owayesakuba nguMongameli uAkbar Hashemi Rafsanjani ebhengeze izicwangciso zokuqhuba. Ngo-Agasti, "u-Entekhab" wabika ukuba uVelayati unike abanye abahlobo bakhe abasenyongweni ukuba balawule umkhankaso wakhe wonyulo. Ukuphehlelelwa ngo-2012 kwewebhusayithi yakhe kwakhokelela ekwandeni kweentelekelelo malunga namabhongo akhe ezopolitiko.
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UVelayati wafunda ngezifo zabantwana eIran emva koko waqeqeshelwa izifo ezosulelayo kwiYunivesithi yaseJohn Hopkins yaseBaltimore ngeminyaka yoo-1970. Kutshanje ucatshulwe esithi uyazazi iintelekelelo malunga namabhongo akhe kwezopolitiko. “Ukuba kwixa elizayo ndenza isigqibo ngalo mba, ke ndiza kugqabaza ngawo,” uxelele i-website ye-hard-line i-Mashreghnews.
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EYAYITHANDAYO: U-Ali Larijani oneminyaka engamashumi amahlanu anesine ubudala wayengumthetheleli wenyukliya owayesakuba ngusomlomo wepalamente. Kukholelwa ukuba ukufutshane noKhamenei. ULarijani ucatshulwe yi "Tasnimnews" ngasekupheleni kukaDisemba esithi akazukungenela umongameli, kodwa abakhi-mkhanya abaqinisekanga kangako. Kudliwano-ndlebe lukaSeptemba kunye ne "Financial Times," uLarijani uthe, "Kukho abezopolitiko abahlukeneyo kwindawo ngoku abalungiselela [unyulo] kwaye ndijonge ukubona ukuba ngubani ophumelele ngakumbi."
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Intatheli eyaziwayo yaseIran uAkbar Ganji uthe akukho mathandabuzo malunga neenjongo zikaLarijani zokuba ngumongameli. "Uqalise iphulo lakhe ngaphakathi nangaphandle kwe-Iran," uGanji wabhala kwizimvo ezipapashwe nguRFE / RL's Radio Farda ngasekupheleni kwe2012. Wongezelela ukuba akucaci ukuba uLarijani wayengumgqatswa okhethwa nguKhamenei. U-Larijani ufumene ngaphantsi kweepesenti ezi-6 zevoti kwi-2005 yonyulo lukamongameli olwazisa u-Ahmadinejad amandla kwaye akazange afikelele kwinqanaba lesibini.
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I-FAVORITE: UGholam Ali Haddad Adel, owazalwa ngo-1945, wayesakuba ngusomlomo wepalamente kunye nomcebisi kaKhamenei intombi yakhe etshate komnye woonyana benkokeli ephezulu. U-Adel ubambe inani lezikhundla zikarhulumente, kubandakanya usekela mphathiswa wesikhokelo samaSilamsi kunye nosekela mphathiswa wezemfundo. U-Adel ebekhe watsho ngaphambili ukuba uza kungenela umongameli ngenye imini, nokuba ufumana “ivoti enye kuphela.”
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UMVIWA WEHASHI ELIMNYAMA: U-Mohammad Baher Qalibaf oneminyaka engamashumi amahlanu ananye ubudala (oboniswe apha ekhohlo no-Ahmadinejad), wayengumthetheli ophezulu we-IRGC kunye nosodolophu waseTehran ukususela ngo-2005. Uthathwa njengesiqhelo esiphakathi. Kuxelwe ukuba utsala inkxaso ekhulayo kwiziko labefundisi ngenxa yezakhono zakhe zokuphatha. Omnye umhlalutyi waseTehran umchaze njengendoda yesenzo ekwazile ukuphucula umfanekiso wekomkhulu. Wathatha ngaphantsi kwe-14 yeepesenti yevoti kwi-poll ka-2005 yomongameli, engaphumeleli ukufikelela kumjikelo wesibini.
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UMVIWA WEHASHI ELIMNYAMA: UMohsen Rezai, owazalwa ngo-1954, wayesakuba ngumphathi omkhulu we-IRGC. Wangenela unyulo lukamongameli luka-2009, wafumana ngaphantsi kwe-2 yeepesenti zevoti, emva kokuqhuba iphulo elagxeka ukuphathwa kakubi kwezoqoqosho kuka-Ahmadinejad. URezayi akathathwa njengomgqatswa onamandla okanye onothando.
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UMVIWA WEHASHI ELIMNYAMA: UMostafa Pourmohammadi, owazalwa ngo-1959, wayesakuba ngumphathiswa wezangaphakathi okhokela uMbutho woHlolo lweSizwe ngoku. Lo mfundisi utyholwa ngokudlala indima ephambili ekugwetyweni kwamawakawaka amabanjwa ezopolitiko ngeminyaka yoo-1980. "I-Hamshahrionline" imcaphule esithi abantu base-Irani kuya kufuneka balinde kude kube lixesha lokubhalisa ukuze bafumanise ukuba uyabaleka na okanye hayi.
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UMVIWA WEHASHI ELIMNYAMA: U-Mohammad Saidi Kia ube ngumgqatswa wokuqala onokuba ngumongameli ekupheleni kukaDisemba xa wabhengeza esidlangalaleni iinjongo zakhe zokungenela ugqatso. UKia, owazalwa ngo-1947, akangomntu waziwayo kodwa uthe amava akhe nobuchule bakhe bokuphatha bumenza ukuba afanelekele isikhundla sikamongameli. UKia usebenze njengomphathiswa wezindlu ngexesha lokuqala kuka-Ahmadinejad e-ofisini kwaye wayengumphathiswa wezothutho kunye neendlela phantsi kweNkulumbuso uMir Hossein Musavi kunye noMongameli Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani. Nangona imbali yomsebenzi kaKia imbeka kwinkampu yogcino-ntsapho, uthe uceba ukubaleka ezimeleyo kwaye uzakuthembela kwigalelo elivela kuluntu ukuxhasa ngezimali iphulo lakhe.
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INKAMPANI KA-AHMADINEJAD: Abanzima baye bavakalisa inkxalabo yokuba umongameli ophumayo unokuzama ukugcina amandla ngokuxhasa umviwa othembekileyo oya kuthi emva koko avumele u-Ahmadinejad ukuba enze enye i-ofisi kwixesha elizayo. Ngaphantsi kwale meko kaPutin-Medvedev, elinye igama eliqhubeka likhula yindoda yasekunene ephikisana no-Ahmadinejad, u-Esfandiari oneminyaka engama-52 ubudala u-Esfandiari Rahim Mashaei. NgoNovemba, iiwebhusayithi zaseIran zacaphula uMashaei esithi uza kungenela unyulo lukamongameli kwaye "akukho mntu unokundinqanda." I-ofisi yakhe iyichithile le ngxelo, isithi ayikhange ithethe nto ngonyulo lukamongameli kuyo nayiphi na indibano yabucala egameni lakhe okanye abanye abagqatswa. Nangona kunjalo, ukurhoxa kwakhe njengomphathi wabasebenzi base-Ahmadinejad kuye kwaqinisa intelekelelo yokuba ulungiselela ukugaya.
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UMashaei uthathwa njengoyingcali yethiyori yenkampu ka-Ahmadinejad kwaye ungumntu ozondwayo phakathi kwama-hard-liners, abaye bamtyhola ngokuba ngoyena mntu uphambili "ophambukayo" osongela isiseko sokusekwa kwabefundisi. Omnye ummeli wathi ngoDisemba uMashaei sele eqalile iphulo lakhe.
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INKAMPU KA-AHMADINEJAD: Intloko entsha yabasebenzi base-Ahmadinejad, u-Hassan Musavi, naye uhanjiswa njengomntu onokuthi abe ngumgqatswa. UMusavi, owayekhokele umbutho wenkcubeko yenkcubeko kunye nokhenketho e-Iran, wathi ngoJulayi ukuba wayekrokrela ukuba imbalela yasehlotyeni kumazantsi e-Iran yayiyinxalenye yemfazwe ethambileyo eyasungulwa kwiriphabliki yamaSilamsi.
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I-MODERATE: U-Hassan Rowhani, oneminyaka engama-65, usebenze njengomphathi-thethwano wenyukliya wase-Iran phantsi koMongameli we-reformist u-Mohammad Khatami kwaye uthathwa njengomgxeki we-Ahmadinejad. Uye wathi "akayikhanyeli" inxaxheba yakhe enokwenzeka kwivoti yomongameli. U-Rowhani uxelele iintatheli nge-1 kaJanuwari ukuba amalungu amaqela athile ezopolitiko, amalungu eNdibano yeeNgcali, kunye nabenzi bomthetho - abaphuma kuzo zombini iinkampu zogcino kunye nohlengahlengiso - bathethe naye ngokubaleka. URowhani ngoku ulilungu leNdibano yeeNgcali kunye nentloko yeZiko loPhando lweSicwangciso. Uthe umongameli wexesha elizayo kuya kufuneka ajongane neengxaki ezininzi. “Nabani na ofuna ukuba ngumongameli kufuneka abe nenkqubo yokujongana neengxaki,” utshilo. Kwaye ukuba ndithatha isigqibo sokubaleka, ngokuqinisekileyo ndiza kuba nenkqubo.
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UMHLAZIYI: U-Mohammad Reza Aref, unjingalwazi waseyunivesithi kunye nosekela mongameli owayesakuba nguMongameli u-Mohammad Khatami, uboniswa njengomntu onokuba ngumgqatswa wenkampu yohlaziyo, ethe yasuswa kwezopolitiko. Abahlalutyi bakholelwa ukuba abo balwela uhlengahlengiso abanalo ithuba lokufumana ubongameli kwakhona. Nangona kunjalo, u-Aref (oboniswe apha ngasekunene kunye neNkulumbuso yase-Iraq u-Ibrahim al-Jaafari ngo-2005) ucatshulwe esithi, "Ndingabhengeza ugqatso lwam ngokusesikweni ukuba andiboni mntu ubalulekileyo."
