Ukwanda kwakamuva kwamasosha ase-Iraq ezindaweni ezicebe ngezinsiza kusebenza kudala ukwesabela ukuthi ukwanda kwezinxushunxushu okulandelayo kungase kukhule kube impi egcwele phakathi kukahulumeni wase-Iraq wamaShiite nendawo eyaziwa ngokuthi yi-Iraqi Kurdistan.
Ukuhlasela kwe-Iraq idolobha laseKirkuk kungesinye sezizathu zokwanda kwakamuva njengoba uHulumeni Wesifunda SaseKurdistan ekhiphe izitatimende eziningi eziphoqa i-Iraq ukuthi ihlehle kule ndawo, isongela impi uma iqhubeka nenqubomgomo yayo yamanje enolaka.
U-Hasan Selim Ozertem, uchwepheshe we-Centre for Energy Security Studies e-USAK uxoxe ngezizathu nomongo walokhu kudlondlobala, wathi, “UNdunankulu uMaliki uzama ukwandisa ubukhosi baseBaghdad ngokusebenzisa ukuzimela kwamaKurd ngenxa yezizathu ezimbili ezibalulekile. Eyokuqala okuyinkinga yokwabelana ngerenti e-Iraq enwetshwa ama-athikili afiphele kumthethosisekelo wase-Iraqi ukuthi ngubani olawula izinsiza zamandla esifundeni. Ngokufanayo, i-Arbil ithatha izinyathelo ezinhlangothi zombili futhi yenza izivumelwano nezinkampani zamazwe ngamazwe ngezindleko zikahulumeni wase-Iraq ophazamisa uMaliki. "
Ngaphezu kwalokho isimo esinganqunyiwe se-Kirkuk e-Iraq senza inkinga ibe nzima kakhulu ngoba ukuba nemithombo kawoyela negesi emoshayo.
Inkinga ye-Kirkuk kanye nomthethosisekelo wethula umnqamulajuqu oyinhloko kulolu daba olungaxazululeki.
Izisusa ze-Iraq zingabhekwa futhi njengomphumela wokukhula kobudlelwane phakathi kwe-KRG kanye nomphakathi wamazwe ngamazwe mayelana nokuthunyelwa kukawoyela negesi kwamanye amazwe okubukela phansi izithakazelo zezomnotho zase-Iraq kanye nokungenela ubukhosi bayo njengoba izindawo eziqhudelanayo zizoba yingxenye yezwe lamaKurdish.
Kusukela kungqubuzana ngoNovemba 16th eTuz Khurmato lapho kwabulawa abantu ababili, isimo sesishube nakakhulu ngama-Kurdish fighters, kuhlanganise namathangi angu-125, kanye namayunithi ase-Iraq ahlome kakhulu atheleka endaweni. Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-Iraq isanda kusayina isivumelwano sezempi ne-US okusho ukuthi uhulumeni maduze uzophatha imali ye-F16 ebiza ama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezintathu, okuyisisusa esingaba yi-KRG ukuthi ingene ezingxabanweni manje ngenkathi inkundla isalingana.
Ngokutheleka okungaka kwamasosha nokushuba kwesimo nhlangothi zombili, udweshu seluphenduke insakavukela umchilo wesidwaba kungekho hlangothi olufuna ukubhebhethekisa lesi simo. Kuzoba nomhlangano phakathi kwe-KRG nohulumeni wase-Iraq e-Baghdad namuhla ukuzama ukuxazulula ukungqubuzana, lapho usomlomo wase-Iraq ephalamende esho ukuthi "inqubekelaphambili enkulu" eseyenziwe kuze kube manje. Nokho, uHasan Ozertem ugomela ngokuthi “naphezu kwemizamo kaBaghdad neka-Arbil yokuxoxisana, kubonakala kunzima ukuthola ikhambi elihlala njalo lenkinga.”
Izinsuku ezilandelayo zizosho ukuthi lokhu kuzophenduka yini inkinga egcwele esikhundleni sokubonisa ukufiphala ezinhlangothini zombili, nokho-ke okuqinisekisiwe ukuthi lokhu, njengezingxabano eziningi zaseMpumalanga Ephakathi, ngeke kuxazululwe nganoma yiluphi uhlobo lwesivumelwano sesikhashana. noma kuqedwe ukudubulana. Umbango ongapheli mayelana nobunikazi balo mhlaba, izinsiza zawo ezinkulu kanye nokungezwani kwamahlelo okubhebhethekisa lokhu kungezwani kwenza lokhu kube yingxabano engapheli njengakuqala. Ngaphezu kwalokho, noma yikuphi ukwenyuka kodlame kuzoba nomthelela omubi ekuzinzeni okuntekenteke kwesifunda uma kubhekwa ukubaluleka kwamasu kanye ne-geopolitical ye-Iraq kanye nokubeka engcupheni ukuwohloka okungenzeka kombuso; izwe eligcwele amandla onqenqemeni lokungaphumeleli kwezwe ngenxa yokuhlasela okuningi, izimpi, ukungezwani kwezinhlanga kanye nokuncintisana kwezinsiza phakathi kukahulumeni wobumbano kanye ne-KRG.
Ibhalwe ngu-Harriet Fildes
(JTW)
