Umzuliswano wesithathu wezingxoxo ngeSyria, umhlaba wonke obheke kuwo ngethemba, uqale eGeneva ngesonto eledlule.
Akubuzwa ngakho - ukuqala kwalezi zingxoxo, ezibandakanya amakhulu abadlali ngemuva kwezigcawu, kuyinto enhle, kodwa izilonda nazo zijulile futhi kuyinqubo lapho amabhuloho amaningi enziwa futhi ashisiwe. Phela sikhuluma ngendawo yokucwala izingqungquthela ephethe umbuso wezombangazwe obulale abantu bawo ngamabhomu nesimo lapho igama elithi “ukwesaba” selibonakala linezincazelo eziningi ezahlukene. Yize konke kusezithebeni kulezi zingxoxo, amaKurds kanye ne-Syrian pro-Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD) abukeka ebambene phakathi kwezihlalo kulezi zingxoxo. Amasosha aphikisayo ase-Ankara kanye neSyria asondelene ne-Ankara agcizelela ukuthi i-PYD kufanele ifakwe ethimba elimele uMongameli waseSyria u-Bashar al-Assad, ethi i-PYD ayifaneleki "njengokuphikisa." Ngokuqondene namaKurds, azimisele ngesifiso sawo sokubamba iqhaza ngaphansi kwejazi “lokuphikisa.” Kusiphithiphithi esijwayelekile salezi zingxoxo zaseSyria, ukuhlukanisa izinhlangothi eziphikisayo akuwona umsebenzi olula. Ngakho-ke, ake sihlolisise lesi sigameko eduze ukuze sizame ukuthola ukuthi i-PYD imi kuphi kukho konke lokhu.
Nakuba i-Ankara, i-Arbil, kanye namasosha alwela ubuzwe ase-Arab eSiriya edlala indima ebalulekile ekwenzeni i-PYD "inamathele phakathi kwezihlalo" ezingxoxweni zase-Geneva, kubalulekile ukuveza ukuthi i-PYD ayinacala ngokuphelele. Ngenkathi inhlekelele yaseSyria isanda kuqala futhi kubonakala sengathi umbuso wase-Assad usuzoketulwa, kwaziwa kahle ukuthi iDamaseku yashintsha izifunda ezintathu ezisemngceleni waseTurkey ukuba zilawule i-PYD. I-PYD iklomelise lesi senzo ngokuvumela izikhungo zombuso wase-Syria kulezi zifunda ukuthi zihlale zimile. Kungakho, kulawa “ma-canton,” singakhuluma ngobuholi obabiwe be-Assad-PYD. Ngaphezu kwalokho, lokhu kubambisana akuzange kukhawulelwe kulawa ma-canton kuphela. Eqinisweni, ngaphandle kokuhlukile okumbalwa kuphela, i-PYD igweme izingxabano ezinodlame namabutho e-Assad.
Kunjalo, okubonakala sengathi uthando luka-Assad lwe-PYD lugxile ngokuphelele kumasu okusebenza, okungachazwa njengokuseshwa kwemifelandawonye ezifundeni ezingakwazi ukuvikelwa ngokwezempi. Angeke futhi kube nokungabaza ukuthi umlayezo oya e-Ankara. Ngisho nangeminyaka lapho umbuso ka-Assad-Baathist, owawumelela ubuzwe bama-Arab ngokujulile, wavula iminyango yawo ku-Kurdistan Workers 'Party (PKK) kanye nomholi wayo u-Abdullah Öcalan, iSiriya yayicacile ngokuma kwayo okuqinile ngokumelene namaKurds aseSiriya, kokubili. ngokwemigomo kanye nokukhishwa ngaphandle okujwayelekile. Lolu hlobo lobuzwe lunesandiso kwabaphikisayo. Endabeni yenqubo yokuthula okungenzeka kube yinto engacabangeki ukuthi i-PYD ingaba amandla angasongela ubunye baseDamaseku kanye neSiriya yonke. Womabili amaKurds kanye nePYD bayakwazi lokhu. Kodwa izimo ezikhona namuhla zisebenzela amaKurds. Hhayi u-Assad kuphela kodwa neMoscow, Washington, Berlin kanye neParis manje sebebhekene nendololwane nePYD ezingxoxweni.
Akukhona kuphela ukulwa okuphumelelayo kwe-PYD ngokumelene ne-Islamic State e-Iraq kanye namabutho e-Levant (ISIL) phansi eSyria okubangele imibono efanayo neWashington neMoscow ngale nhlangano. Manje kubonakala sengathi iWashington neMoscow sebevele befinyelele esivumelwaneni esithile mayelana nokuthula okungenzeka eSyria kanye nokwakhiwa kabusha kwezwe. Okufunwa yila mazwe womabili kuyisakhiwo “sezwe” nesentando yeningi, akufani nalokho okukhona eTurkey. AmaShiites, amaKrestu amancane, amaDruze kanye namaSulumane angokwenkolo kanye namaKurds kanye nePYD bonke babonwa njengamatshe abalulekile kunoma yiluphi uhlelo lwezwe oluzovela eSyria kusukela lapha kuya phambili. Yingakho umbono waseNtshonalanga nge-PYD ushintshe kakhulu kule minyaka embalwa edlule. Kodwa naphezu kwalokhu, nakuba iNtshonalanga ingase isekele i-PYD, ayiyamukeli. Futhi ayikwazi ukukwamukela, ngoba awesabi kuphela ama-Arabism kodwa futhi nezinkinga nge-Ankara ne-Arbil. Yingakho isifunda esinesiphithiphithi nesidideke kakhulu kulo lonke isiphithiphithi sakhiwe unxande we-Ankara, i-Arbil, i-PYD ne-PKK.
Okwamanje, wonke umuntu - kusukela eWashington kuya e-EU, eMoscow naseTehran ubonakala enehhashi emjahweni ovela kulo nxande. Kodwa ake sinake kakhulu amahhashi agijima kakhulu. Bobabili i-Ankara kanye ne-Arbil bafisa ukusebenzisana neNtshonalanga kule nkundla kanye nohlobo oluqinile lwe-Islam olusekelwe emasikweni e-Nakshibandi ukuze luvele njengethonya elikhulu esifundeni. Izinqubomgomo zesokunxele nezezwe ze-PYD zenza lezi zihloko ezimbili zingakhululeki, yingakho i-PYD empeleni ingumfelandawonye wemvelo we-Assad, iMoscow neTehran. Nokho, ekugcineni, ikhambi lakho konke lokhu alikho kulelikhona likanxande. Esikhundleni salokho, ilele enkundleni ehlala i-Ankara, iWashington ne-Arbil. Futhi yilapho idrama ye-PYD, noma ikakhulukazi i-PKK, igxilile. I-PYD-PKK ayinabo ubudlelwano obubi ne-Ankara kuphela kodwa futhi ne-Arbil. Ingabe yizona zizathu zodwa zale mpi? Abanjalo. Kodwa balahlekelwe indlela kulolu bishi oluphithizelayo.
I-axis ye-Ankara-Arbil ingase ibe umugqa onamandla futhi osebenzayo uma kuziwa ekuletheni ukuthula eSyria. Akudingeki nokuthi benze okungako. Badinga ukubona ukuthi naphezu kwawo wonke amaphutha ayo amaningi, intando yeningi yezwe eqhutshelwa phambili yiRiphabhulikhi yaseTurkey eneminyaka eyi-100 ingaletha isisombululo nokuthula e-Iraq naseSyria. Ingabe izimpi zenkolo ezingokomlando zaseYurophu azisona isifundo esibalulekile nakwesikhathi esidlule? Ngokuqondene ne-PYD yokulahlekelwa indlela yayo phakathi kwesiphithiphithi esikhulu esikhona laphaya, kungenzeka yini ukuthi ayinandaba nokudideka kwabo, hhayi ngenxa yokungabi nankolo, kodwa ngenxa yentando yeningi? Uma kukhulunywa ngemihlangano yendololwane phakathi kukaMengameli waseRussia uVladimir Putin no-Assad, akubonakali ziningi izinkinga.
