“Usuku oluhle lolu. Nakulokhu, sibona okungenzeka nge-diplomacy eqinile yaseMelika ”.
~UMongameli Barack Obama
Isivumelwano esingokomlando samazwe ngamazwe senuzi phakathi kwe-United States namadlelandawonye ayo kanye ne-Iran samenyezelwa ngoJulayi, 2015. Kusukela ngaleso sikhathi, kube nokungabaza okukhulu, ikakhulukazi okuvela kubagxeki kanye ne-Republican Party mayelana nokwethembeka kokuthi i-Iran, “inzondo” isitha, sizokwenza kahle ezwini laso lokunqanda izifiso zayo zenuzi ukuze kuqedwe unswinyo lwezomnotho kanye nokukhulula impahla yaso. Ngokuphambene, uMongameli u-Obama kanye nabaphathi bakhe babezethemba futhi beqinile ekukholelweni kwabo ukuthi izingxoxo zezombusazwe hhayi impi, ukuphela kwendlela yokufeza izinhloso ezizuzisa bobabili. Babeqinisile.
IWashington Post ithi:
“Ezinyangeni eziyisithupha kamuva, u-Obama wafeza isithembiso sakhe lapho i-Iran ikhulula izakhamuzi zase-US ezi-5, kuhlanganise nentatheli yeWashington Post, uJason Rezaian, owachitha izinsuku ezingu-544 ekuthunjweni. Bekuyisikhathi sokuthi “nginitshelile” uMongameli, obheje ifa lakhe lenqubomgomo yezangaphandle esivumelwaneni senuzi esisezingeni eliphezulu noTehran esilahlwe abagxeki bakhe njengokuzithoba esitheni saseMelika esingathembekile.
Ngesonto eledlule, amatilosi ayishumi e-US Navy aboshwe yi-Iran ngesikhathi ephambukela emanzini ase-Iran. Lokhu kuqhubekisele phambili ukugcizelela kwabagxeka uMengameli eqenjini eliphikisayo ukuthi kusenobufakazi bokuthi i-Iran isaqhubeka nokuba nenzondo. Nokho, amatilosi akhululwa ngokushesha. Kulokhu, uMongameli u-Obama wathi ukukhululwa ngokushesha kwezikhulu ze-US Navy kwakuwubufakazi benkathi entsha yokuxhumana eyasungulwa ne-Iran. Lokhu kwakuwukuphela kwesihloko se-iceberg.
Inkathi entsha yokuxoxisana ne-Iran yaqala lapho i-International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) imemezela ukuthi izimo ezibekwe ngemva kwezingxoxo ezinkulu zikaJulayi wezi-2015 sezihlonishiwe futhi zagcwaliseka. Cishe ngokushesha, i-United States kanye nabalingani bayo basusa unswinyo lwamabhange, insimbi, ukuthunyelwa kwemikhumbi nokunye.
Ngenxa yalokho, i-Iran yakhulula iziboshwa ezinhlanu zaseMelika njengengxenye yokushintshana kweziboshwa ne-United States. Ngokuphindaphindiwe, uMongameli u-Obama uphinde waxolela abantu abathathu base-Iranian-America ababethweswe icala lokwephula unswinyo olwalubekwe i-Iran. I-Iran iqhamuke eminyakeni yokuhlukaniswa kwezomnotho nokuqedwa kwenswinyo kwezomnotho ukuze kunqandwe izifiso zayo zenuzi.
Kungani lokhu kubaluleke kakhulu ngoba ngokusho kwe-United States, lokhu kuwukunqoba okukhulu kwe-diplomacy yase-US, incoma ukuqaliswa kwesivumelwano "esinqamule yonke indlela" yokuthi i-Iran yakhe ibhomu lenuzi.
I-Republican Party kanye nabagxeki be-Iran Deal nokho, bebengaphansi kwenjabulo enkulu (akumangazi!) ngenxa yokungathembani kwabo izinhloso zikahulumeni wase-Iran. Ukunganeliseki kwabo kuya kuze kubangele ukumangala (kulokhu, ngokumangalisayo!) mayelana nokuthi bakhululekile yini ukuthi abathunjwa baseMelika bakhululwe yi-Iran, ukunqoba ngokwayo. Esikhundleni salokho, abaphikisi babaphathi baka-Obama baze baguqula lezi zindaba ezinhle zaba enye ingxabano embi yeqembu.
Esimeni esijwayelekile sezehlakalo, abantu baseMelika, ikakhulukazi labo abafuna ukuhola isizwe, kufanele bajabule kakhulu lapho kwenzeka okuthile okuhle e-US noma lapho ifinyelela imiphumela eyingqophamlando ngenxa yezinqubomgomo eziphusile. Ngokusobala hhayi ngohlu lwamanje lwabaholi beRiphabhulikhi abathi, nganoma iyiphi indlela ebizayo, bazame ukubukela phansi impumelelo nezimpumelelo zokuphatha kuka-Obama ngenjongo yokwenza kahle...ukwenza kanjalo.
Umbono we-Republican Party ukuthi i-White House ibonise uphawu lobuthakathaka. Ngakho-ke, ingabe kufanele siqonde ukuthi ukuphikisa kwabo uMongameli kuyinto ebonakalayo kangangokuthi kuphazamisa yonke ingqondo nozwela? Ngabe kufanele siqonde ukuthi amaRiphabhulikhi angakhululeka kakhudlwana futhi okuqukethwe kube abaseMelika bahlala ejele kwelinye izwe, bengenzanga bugebengu? Ingabe lokho bekuyobonisa uphawu lwamandla kuhulumeni wase-US? Lena bekungaba imibuzo ethakazelisa kakhulu ukuyibuza engxoxweni elandelayo kaMongameli weRiphabhulikhi.
Kwakukhona ukungabaza okujulile ngasohlangothini lwase-Irani, futhi. Lokhu kwakusekelwe ekungabazeni kwabo kanye nokwesaba ukuthi i-United States kanye nabalingani bayo baseNtshonalanga abasoze basusa unswinyo noma ngabe izinkinga zenuzi zixazululiwe. Isimangalo sabo sasiwukuthi inhloso enkulu ye-United States kwakuwukuketula umbuso wamaSulumane, ukushiya unswinyo lwezomnotho lukhona kuze kube yilapho umgomo ufinyelelwa.
Kodwa-ke, lapho unswinyo selususiwe, kwaba sobala kwabaqinile e-Iran ukuthi empeleni, babenephutha nokuthi i-US kanye nabalingani bayo, empeleni, babegcina izwi labo, ngisho namabhange omhlaba enikeza imigqa yesikweletu e-Iran.
Iphuzu elibaluleke kakhulu okufanele liqashelwe ukuthi ukususwa kwezijeziso zezomnotho ngeke kuthinte eminye imikhawulo ehlobene nezinsolo zokuxhaswa kwe-Iran kobuphekula kanye nokwephulwa kwamalungelo abantu.
Umnyombo walokhu kunqoba okukhulu kwezokuxhumana uvela ekuphikeleleni nasekuhlakanipheni kokuphatha kuka-Obama. Okwacaca kuMongameli u-Obama kanye nokuphatha kwakhe kusukela ekuqaleni kwe-Iran Nuclear Deal ezinyangeni eziyishumi nane ezedlule ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwamandla ukuze i-Iran ihambisane nayo bekungeke kube nomphumela omuhle. Okuwukuphela kwendlela yokuqhubekela phambili kwaba ngezingxoxo phakathi kwe-United States ne-Iran futhi kwasebenza.
Isifundo esiphawuleka kakhulu esingasifunda lapha ukuthi bekuyizingxoxo, ukuxoxisana nokuxoxisana okulethe imiphumela enokuthula, nezuzisayo e-United States nase-Iran. Le nqubekelaphambili eyingqophamlando yafinyelelwa ngokusebenzisa i-diplomacy, ngaphandle kokuphendukela kwenye impi.
UMengameli u-Obama ubekwazi kudala futhi akakaze anyakaze lapho egxekwa kaningi ngabamgxekayo. Ngokufanelekile.
I-Iran Nuclear Deal kanye nokushintshisana ngeziboshwa kwengeza kulokho okuzongena emlandweni njenge-The Obama Legacy. Manje, singathemba kuphela ukuthi umhlali olandelayo we-White House uyazihlonipha izimiso zokukhulumisana ngangokunokwenzeka ngaphandle kokukhetha impi ngokwemvelo.
