Kungaba yiphutha ukusula izinsongo zempi ngokumelene neSyria ezivela kuNdunankulu waseTurkey u-Recep Tayyip Erdogan njenge-bluster nje, ecabanga ukuthi iTurkey izogcina isimo se-quo ekwaziseni ubuhlobo bayo ne-United States ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngenkathi iphikisana nezifiso ezinzima ze-Iran. omunye.
Ukungqubuzana kwakamuva kwemingcele kungase kubangele ukudideka esifundeni njengoba iTurkey ingena eSyria, okuholela ezenzweni ezibambezelekile engxenyeni yomphakathi wamazwe ngamazwe.
Umbuso wakwa-Assad uyazi ukuthi isikhathi sawo silinganiselwe njengoba izinga lamasosha kanye nezikhulu zezobunhloli zihlubuka eJordani naseTurkey landa ngomfutho. Ukuhlasela kwamavukelambuso kusondela enhliziyweni yombuso wakwa-Assad, njengokuhlasela kwakamuva kwenkampani yezobunhloli basemoyeni yaseSyria endaweni yaseDamaseku eHarasta. Lokhu kunomthelela ebudedengu bombuso ekudubuleni iTurkey ngaphandle kokujeziswa.
Funda: ITurkey idedela indiza yaseSyria
I-Ankara ingahle futhi iqiniswe yiqiniso lokuthi i-Iran, umlingani obalulekile wase-Assad, inganqunyelwa emandleni ayo okungenelela ngenxa yezinkinga zayo zomnotho ekhaya. Kuleli sonto imali yayo - i-rial - yehle ngenani ngenxa yenhlanganisela yezijeziso kanye nokungaphathwa kahle komnotho kukaTehran. I-Turkey izolahlekelwa kancane ngokuphendula ulaka lwaseSyria - lesi sizathu sisekelwa imibiko yakamuva yokuthi i-Iran ihoxile eSyria amalungu angama-275 ophikweni olukhethekile oluxhumene ne-elite Quds Force.
Ingxabano yaseSyria ayisathathwa njengodaba lwangaphakathi kuphela. Ngokusobala inemiphumela yesifunda. Ngakho-ke ngikholelwa ukuthi inhloso yeTurkey ukuvikela umngcele wayo ixhumene ngokungenakuhlukaniswa noshintsho lombuso. Ukwanda kokusebenza kwayo kwezempi kungase kubangelwa ukubala ukuthi kuzosheshisa ukushabalala kombuso wakwa-Assad. Ukuvuma kwephalamende laseTurkey ukuthi amasosha alo enze imisebenzi ngaphakathi kweSyria akuwona nje umzamo ongokomfanekiso wokuqinisa ukuzigqaja kweTurkey ngenkathi iphendula ingcindezi yezepolitiki yasekhaya ngokuhlaselwa kweSyria. Inikeza amabutho ayo ahlomile amandla okwenza okungaphezu kokuvikela imingcele yayo.
Kungenzeka futhi ukuthi i-NATO ingasiza iTurkey - izwe eliyilungu - ngokuvikela umngcele wayo wamamayela angama-560, idale indawo evikelekile yokusiza abantu, lapho abaphikisi baseSyria bengaba nomsebenzi wokuyala. Kodwa-ke, lokhu kubeka engcupheni yokukhuphula ukungqubuzana kube umkhankaso oholwa yi-NATO ngaphandle kohlaka loMkhandlu Wezokuphepha we-UN - uhlobo lwesinyathelo sokungenelela iRussia neChina abangasiphikisa njengoba benza eLibya.
Ukushintshela ekungqubuzaneni neSyria kubonakala ngohlobo loshintsho lwesu esifundeni esike salubona ngaphambili neTurkey. U-Erdogan ekuqaleni wayemanqikanqika ukubeka unswinyo e-Iran futhi manje usemukela unswinyo lwe-EU eTehran. Undunankulu waseTurkey naye ubeseseka izifiso ze-Iran zenuzi ngaso sonke isikhathi efuna ukwehlisa ubudlelwano nezitha zikaTehran, i-Israel. Manje isizihlanganisa ne-Sunni bloc, okuhlanganisa i-Gulf states kanye ne-Jordan ngokumelene ne-Iran kanye nommeleli wayo waseSyria. Lokhu kungase kubangele impendulo yamasosha ase-Irani futhi kubangele okunye ukukhuphuka kwentengo kawoyela.
Njengoba impi yombango yaseSyria iqhubeka isikhathi eside, ayanda amathuba okungezwani kwamahlelo esifunda aqhamuka emigqeni yamaphutha yamaSunni-Shiite. Lokhu kungaholela eMpini Yomshoshaphansi yaseMpumalanga Ephakathi phakathi kwezindawo ezinamandla zesifunda iSaudi Arabia, enabantu abaningi abangamaSunni, kanye nama-Irani abuswa ngamaShiite.
Khonamanjalo, isu elisobala lokuphatha kuka-Obama “lokuhola ngemuva” liyizaba zokuthi lidideke enkingeni yabantu baseSyria. Ngokufanayo, ukungasebenzi kweNhlangano Yezizwe Ezihlangene ngale nhlekelele kubangelwa ukungqubuzana eMkhandlwini Wezokuphepha, lapho iChina neRussia bephikisana nanoma yikuphi ukungenelela - bekhuthaza ngokusobala ukuthi amavukelambuso enze inkhulumomphendvulwano nombuso obulalayo.
Nokho njengoba i-UN inomlando obanzi wokukhuluma ngomlomo nje ekuphakamiseni izindinganiso zamalungelo abantu kuyilapho ishaya indiva ukubulawa kohlanga eRwanda, eSudan, eBalkan nase-Iraq, indlela yayo yokungayinaki lezi zibhicongo ezenzeka mihla namalanga eSyria akufanele isimangaze. Kukhona izilinganiso zokuthi balinganiselwa ku-50,000 300,000 abantu asebebulewe, kanti abantu abafinyelela ezigidini ezimbili basale dengwane kusukela kuqale udweshu. I-UN ithi amaSyria angama-XNUMX abaleke ezweni.
I-US, empeleni okuwukuphela kwesizwe esinekhono elidingekayo lezempi nelokuhlela, ibingayivimba kalula inkinga yababaleki eye yakhulisa amathuba okungqubuzana neTurkey. Ukuqapha kwayo ukuhlomisa abahlubuki kwakuwukuvimbela ukubuya kweSyrian Muslim Brotherhood kanye namanye ama-Islamist anamandla eSyria. Kodwa-ke ukungqubuzana okudonse isikhathi eside lapho sekudale impi yombango kanye nokungabi bikho kokubusa ezweni lonke laseSyria osekuhehe ama-Islamist, kwaze kwavuselela i-al-Qaeda, okuyenze yakwazi ukungena ezinhlwini zamaqembu aphikisayo futhi ithole ukwesekwa ngemuva kokuhlasela kwayo. ekufakweni kwezempi nohulumeni waseSyria.
I-US kanye nabalingani bayo be-NATO nabo bebengavimba ukuchitheka kwegazi okuningi ngokusebenzisa amandla asemoyeni ukukhomba izinsiza zezempi zombuso wakwa-Assad. Amasosha aseSyria agxile eDamaseku, e-Aleppo nasenyakatho yesifundazwe saseRaqqa athwele kanzima futhi anganwetshwa uma ephoqeleka ukuthi aphendule ingcindezi yezempi yangaphandle.
Nokho iWashington namadlelandawonye ayo e-NATO manje sebengaphoqeleka ukuthi babeke inani elikhulu lamasosha phansi ukuze kuvinjelwe ukwanda kwezikhali zaseSyria ezitholakala ngamakhemikhali nezebhayoloji. Abaphathi baka-Obama bashiye phansi bacabanga ukuthi, njengoba uNobhala Wezokuvikela u-Leon Panetta enzile, ukuthi amabutho ezokuphepha aseSyria angase ahlanganiswe ukuze avikele izindawo zezikhali zamakhemikhali ngemuva kokuketulwa kombuso wakwa-Assad. Esikhaleni sokubusa esiphethwe ama-Islamist, lokhu kungase kube iphupho elibi.
Funda: I-US ithumela amasosha ukuthi ayoqapha izikhali zamakhemikhali zaseSyria
Ngenkathi i-US izimisele ngokuhlehlisa ukubandakanyeka kwayo eMpumalanga Ephakathi ukuze iphinde igxile e-Asia, iSyria ingase ibe ngumshoshozeli oyibuyisela esifundeni iminyaka eyishumi ukuze ilawule iMpi Yomshoshaphansi yesibili.
(CNN)
